Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 12.140065 14.198098 16.445625 19.075332 22.060463 25.336243 29.195271
2025-06-15 9.011772 11.895007 15.371920 19.837823 25.382313 31.997427 40.440408
2025-06-22 7.034141 10.233144 14.405586 20.164298 27.811272 37.511827 50.625379
2025-06-29 5.489896 8.701942 13.187137 19.768214 29.011548 41.340859 58.797835
2025-07-06 4.272153 7.335659 11.890686 18.954236 29.381846 43.914467 65.328647
2025-07-13 3.830433 7.022477 12.016170 20.108772 32.531781 50.443654 77.656221
2025-07-20 3.439152 6.704520 12.059762 21.095474 35.465202 56.822979 90.161140
2025-07-27 3.041667 6.296048 11.882393 21.677945 37.784117 62.411635 101.829579
2025-08-03 2.637252 5.796742 11.471187 21.803490 39.349602 66.919033 112.111169
2025-08-10 2.221531 5.195469 10.789616 21.371094 39.929341 69.885190 120.153491
2025-08-17 1.859887 4.629635 10.085211 20.798137 40.185358 72.301908 127.417307
2025-08-24 1.551079 4.111321 9.391110 20.148075 40.218793 74.311204 134.087922
2025-08-31 1.227398 3.510669 8.485312 19.071632 39.541356 75.334297 139.660289
2025-09-07 1.112574 3.380000 8.537321 19.888026 42.442614 82.757078 156.566536
2025-09-14 0.975488 3.161016 8.363723 20.224783 44.469234 88.794370 171.501231
2025-09-21 0.811512 2.826938 7.873077 19.829313 45.028286 92.230566 182.108201
2025-09-28 0.652545 2.458816 7.232477 19.013433 44.650704 93.897463 189.643758
2025-10-05 0.617445 2.449725 7.465192 20.171119 48.390457 103.465774 211.956355
2025-10-12 0.576649 2.412082 7.618564 21.160463 51.855169 112.715619 234.166686
2025-10-19 0.522665 2.315913 7.602232 21.744482 54.500158 120.538760 254.130467
2025-10-26 0.458235 2.163842 7.407683 21.870360 56.154344 126.514651 270.923012
2025-11-02 0.384852 1.953697 7.010291 21.436817 56.520273 129.936665 283.009922
2025-11-09 0.319030 1.747418 6.582132 20.862336 56.502373 132.561223 293.668739